Urgent Need of UCC
(Uniform Civil Code) to prevent future tensions - “Ticking Demographic Bomb”
(There are many gross overestimation
done to make ease in analysis, but still trends will be similar)
Not going into the details and issues
around "Love Jihad", I did some detailed analysis of the gender
ratio's of Hindus, Muslims, Christians, Sikhs etc in India and came to
following conclusions
1.
Muslims constitute
around 15% of population officially (18% unofficially due to Bangladeshis and
other illegal and ignored)
2.
Their (950) sex ratios are better than Hindus (931)
3.
All 5 major non-muslim communities such as Hindus,
Christians, Sikhs, Buddhists and Jains have lower percentage of percentage of
population in 0-6 years age than national average
4.
Jains just have 10% in 0-6 age, while Hindus have 15%
in 0-6 years
5.
Child sex ratio is all time low at 914 in 2011
6.
Christian (2.3%) is the only group with more men than
women
7.
In addition to this Muslims (3.4) have a higher TFR
(Total Fertility Rates) than all major communities such as Hindus (2), Christians
(2.1), Sikhs, Buddhists and Jains (1.4), who interestingly have lower percentage
of percentage of population in 0-6 years age than national average
8.
India is
18% of world population, with population growth rate of 1.41% ranking 102 in
world. India is primarily young with 65% below 35 years. 50% is below 25 years.
That mean this 50% is in the age around marriage
9.
The worst
male/female ratio are in the age group 0-10 years (1.14)
10.
The second
worst and of immediate concern is 15–24 years: 1.09 male(s)/female
11.
Previous
generation was in comfortable range with 65 years and over: 0.908
male(s)/female and current generation is also not very bad
The above data clearly indicate a
demographic socio-economic Reverse “Love Jihad” is bound to happen. Let us
analyze what happened in Haryana
1.
What
people in Haryana did when they found they don’t have brides, they went outside
from UP / Himachal
2.
They did
not went to Rajasthan at it was equally pathetic
Now let us imagine that Hindus, Muslims,
Christians are tiny states like Haryana, UP, Himanchal. Let do some scenario
analysis
Current Scenario
With m/f ratio close to 1.0, no major
threat
Short Term Scenario (5-10 years)
15-25 reaches age of marriage, but we have
9% more men than women, means 9% men will not get bride. This is same as
Haryana situation.
Solution - > Bride import will begin to
start
Initially Muslims will be difficult to convince
to marry to Hindus, so may be Christians will be the first exporter of brides
to Hindus/Jains /Sikhs etc
Medium Term Scenario (10-15 years)
Now lets imagine this 0-10 years group with
male to female ratio of 1.14 reaches the age of 20 after 20 years
Scenario 1 :- (Reverse Love Jihad) Indian
muslims accepts export of brides to Hindus as Hindus lack them. Struggle for
brides will intensify. If Muslims accepts UCC (Uniform Civil Code), there are
high chances they will mingle themselves with mainstream.
Scenario 2:- Some ISIS like organization
get upstart in India and ask Muslim to reject UCC and harden Muslim Extremism. Indian
Muslims deny export of brides to Hindus. Hindus still need them then it is a
dangerous situation which will either lead to forced conversion of either
Hindus to Muslims to marry or will lead clashes.
Hence, UCC is immediate need of the hour to
help bridge the divide between Hindus and Muslims so that there can be easy exchange
of brides. Similar to case of Haryana, Bride exchange between territories (read
here religion) is bound to happen. Else this is “Ticking Demographic Bomb”
Also, this also breaks apart a myth that
Islam is anti-woman, yes it is indeed if you look the pity situation of women
in Islam, but perhaps Hindus are more anti-women. This is because, even though
Hindus have higher respect and stature of women in society than Islam, but the
higher class hindus are simply preventing women birth in the first place.
